Marine forecast
Florida Bay, FL
- current wind
- 8 kt E
- Water
- 87°F
- 72-hr peak
- 13 kt
Observed Tue 2:00 PM | GMZ031
- Water
- 87°F
- 72-hr peak
- 13 kt
In brief
At 2:00 pm EDT on Oct 13, 2026, NDBC station WRBF1 (Whipray Basin, FL, 13 miles away) measured wind from the E at 8 kt. The NWS forecast for Florida Bay, FL issued at 10:19 am EDT on Oct 13, 2026 reads, for this afternoon: “Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop.”
Source: National Weather Service Key West FL forecast; NDBC observations
Wind forecast · ktPeak 13 kt
NWS marine forecast
| Period | Forecast |
|---|---|
| This Afternoon | Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. |
| Tonight | Northeast to east winds near 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday | Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. |
| Wednesday Night | Northeast to east winds near 15 knots, becoming east and decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. |
| Thursday | East winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. |
| Thursday Night | East winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. |
| Friday | East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. |
| Friday Night | Northeast to east winds near 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. |
| Saturday | Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to northeast to east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters smooth to a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. |
| Saturday Night | Northeast to east winds near 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. |
Issued Tue 10:19 AM by Key West FL (product CWFKEY).
Synopsis
High pressure is centered over the Southeast U.S. and the northern Gulf. An Atlantic ridge continues to weaken and retreat east towards the central Atlantic. In between these two features lies a weak cold front which is in the process of stalling along and parallel or just south of the Florida Keys this morning. This will promote gentle to moderate northeast to east breezes over the next several days. There will be chances for showers and a few thunderstorms over the next few days as this weak and diffuse front remains in the area. Late in the week, a strong cold front could develop and move towards the Florida Keys by the weekend. Currently, there are low chances that the front will make it to the Florida Keys waters. We will continue monitoring this system. The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October 9, 2026... 53 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key 33 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys 24 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West 19 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key 13 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon 5 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada 2 NM east of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo 2 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic Office.
Recent buoy conditions
| Time | Wind | Gust | Seas | Water |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 2:00 PM | 8 kt E | — | — | 87°F |
| Tue 1:00 PM | 9 kt E | — | — | 86°F |
| Tue 12:00 PM | 10 kt ENE | — | — | 86°F |
| Tue 11:00 AM | 12 kt NE | — | — | 85°F |
| Tue 10:00 AM | 12 kt NE | — | — | 85°F |
| Tue 9:00 AM | 15 kt NE | — | — | 85°F |
| Tue 8:00 AM | 13 kt NNE | — | — | 86°F |
| Tue 7:00 AM | 14 kt NE | — | — | 86°F |
| Tue 6:00 AM | 14 kt NNE | — | — | 86°F |
| Tue 5:00 AM | 13 kt NNE | — | — | 87°F |
| Tue 4:00 AM | 11 kt NE | — | — | 87°F |
| Tue 3:00 AM | 10 kt NNE | — | — | 87°F |
Observed Tue 2:00 PM at NDBC buoy WRBF1 (Whipray Basin, FL), 12.8 miles away.
Frequently asked questions
What is the marine forecast for Florida Bay today?
This Afternoon: Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Is there a small craft advisory for Florida Bay?
No advisories, warnings or watches are in effect for NWS zone GMZ031 as of the last update on this page. Advisories can be issued at any time; check the current bulletin before leaving the dock.
What is the water temperature at Florida Bay?
The nearest buoy read 87°F (30°C) at Tue 2:00 PM. Sea surface temperature at a single buoy can differ by several degrees from the water at a beach or in a shallow bay nearby.
What do the wind speeds in knots mean?
One knot is 1.15 mph. The National Weather Service issues a small craft advisory for sustained winds of roughly 22–33 knots or hazardous seas, a gale warning at 34–47 knots, and a storm warning at 48 knots and above. Exact advisory thresholds vary by forecast office and by water body — a bay reaches dangerous chop at a lower wind speed than open ocean.
Where does this forecast come from?
The forecast text is the National Weather Service's own marine bulletin for zone GMZ031, issued by Key West FL, reproduced in full. The wind and seas charts are drawn from the NWS gridded forecast for a point inside the zone. Observations come from the nearest reporting NDBC buoy. We are not affiliated with NOAA or the National Weather Service.
Forecast: NOAA/NWS product CWFKEY, issued Tue 10:19 AM. Observations: NOAA National Data Buoy Center station WRBF1, read Tue 2:00 PM. Retrieved Oct 13, 3:42 PM. Conditions offshore change faster than any page can be rebuilt, so check the current NWS bulletin and your own instruments before going out.